Landscape, Nature And Travel Photography

Photography By Jim M. Goldstein

10 Photography Predictions for 2010

2009 offered up some great developments on the technical side of the photography industry, while the down economy has squeezed many photographers. In this regard 2009 was certainly a year to both love and hate. What might be around the corner in 2010? Here are my 10 Photography Predictions for 2010:

  1. Computational Photography will hit a new landmark
    Expect a variety of announcements in regard to computational photography in 2010. Cameras will certainly be taking a new path in their evolution as we got a glimpse of in 2009 with the open-source camera. Beyond 2010 we might see some of this technology in a more traditional commercial camera.
  2. Digital Noise Vanishes, but Faux Film Grain Comes Into Fashion
    I think it’s fair to say the latest cameras that have come out from Nikon and Canon have nearly done away with digital noise even at traditionally ultra high ISO settings. Ironically I predict that as people get use to noise free photos faux film grain will come into style.
  3. Film makes a comeback… a small one
    Counter to my earlier writing Film is Dead. No Really! film will catch on even more with photographers who have caught the digital photography bug. The population of film photographers will grow a bit in 2010 (beyond photo schools & fine art photographers), but the big question is, “Will this growth sway film manufacturers from discontinuing more film stocks?”
  4. Orphan Works Legislation Rears Its Ugly Head in Washington, but only Briefly
    Orphan Works Legislation will reappear on Capital Hill, but only late in 2010. Even then the legislation will be put off until 2011 due to continued partisanship on larger economic and other social issues/legislation. Even though I’m making this prediction I’m making plans to watch for any movement on this legislation through out the year. Photographers cannot afford to remain idle on this issue. John Harrington’s Photo Business News & Forum does a great job on relaying updates & editorial to this legislation and an official site to monitor status of legislation moving through the U.S. Congress is govtrack.us.
  5. More Virtual Trade Shows
    In order to maximize cost savings photographers and photo companies alike who are reeling from the down economy will opt to attend more virtual trade shows versus traditional trade shows. PDN hosted a couple of the more popular virtual trade shows this year. I’m expecting to see this trend continue through out 2010 until the economy improves.
  6. Camera Sensor Megapixel Wars Plateau
    Camera manufacturers will focus on camera enhancements other than increased sensor resolution for new dSLR models. As the economy continues to struggle the broadest segment of the camera consumer market will accept the 20 megapixel sensor resolution as the norm. This will be driven by a slow down in sensor resolution research and a standardization of manufacturing for such resolutions. Even the biggest camera manufacturers hit hard by the economic melt down of 2008/9 are going to be looking for new ways to meet demand, remain competitive and most importantly cut costs. Expect to see marketing that reflects this shift in the near future. That being said the medium format digital photography market will see continued activity to optimize sensors falling in the 40-80 megapixel range. Even in this market attention will fall on improving ISO sensitivity and digital noise after the dust settles.
  7. Crowdsourcing of Photo Content Formally Threatens Microstock
    The low end of the stock photography market will start to be squeezed in 2010 as crowdsourcing photo sites/services emerge. The early exploration of this trend has been happening with photo contest rights grabs (see  How The Rights To Your Photo Are Being Hijacked Through Photo Contests & Social Media circa 2008), but will take on a more formal legitimate front this year. Why would I possibly imagine such a thing? Perception of the value of photography continues to plummet and its bound to get worse before it gets better. The only thing worse than photos that cost a few dollars to license are photos that can be used for free.
  8. Well Known/Famous Photographers File for Bankruptcy
    Annie Leibovitz isn’t the only well known photographer facing tough times due to personal problems and an economy in free fall (see Agreement Reached on a Reprieve for Leibovitz Loan Repayment), she just may be the most visible. Photographers who have not embraced new marketing and revenue models will face the hardest of times. Those who have been slowest to adapt and have been over extended will suffer the worst fate. In 2010 it’s only a matter of time before news of bankruptcy hitting well known photographers comes to light.
  9. Self-publishing forces the transformation of traditional photo publications
    The last 4-5 years have been a boon for photographers in publishing content online on their own terms via blogs, YouTube, etc. The last 2 years have provided even further opportunity to photographers as print on-demand services (Blurb, LuLu, MagCloud, and an infinite number of other printers) have established themselves. Photographer generated content as reached a tipping point at the close of 2009 and more traditional publishing outlets will begin to leverage this content for their own purposes. Whether content is integrated to a magazine web site or to the magazine itself editors will have an easier time picking and choosing content. The big question is will they opt to have this content in print or republish it online or both?
  10. dSLR Video Leans Toward Niche Adoption vs. Broad Consumer Adoption
    I’m inclined to think that dSLR video will be wildly popular with a narrow audience and remain as an unused feature by the vast majority of the consumer market.  Film & Television cinematographers will flock to dSLR video at a higher percentage than still photographers. The reason for this is cinematographers are already used to the extra cost of video production while most still photographers are not. Shooting production quality video with a dSLR requires a large outlay of cash for accessories, well beyond the budget of most still photographers. Thom Hogan’s recent observation (Dec. 29, 2009) highlights how low video enabled dSLRs fall on the top sellers list for camera manufacturers. Perhaps this is a sign of the tough economy limiting the number of upgrades photographers make, but in combination with random observation of friends & colleagues I’m finding that those with dSLRs that shoot video often never use the feature. If video is your thing be sure to check out Vincent Laforet’s predictions.

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10 Social Media Predictions for 2010

2009 has been an interesting year for photographers who have taken the plunge with Social Media. I’m guessing back in January of 2009 many of you would have scoffed at the notion of being active in Social Media by years end. It’s been great to see so many photographers experiment with it this year. While I knew use of Social Media would not stick for some, I have been pleasantly surprised more people have stuck with it than I’d have anticipated.

If you consider yourself a Social Media friendly photographer here are 10 predictions for the New Year to keep you thinking through 2009 and beyond.

  1. Real-Time Search becomes a game changer
    Twitter’s search deal with Google & Bing is the beginning of the end for traditional search. Google will work to stay ahead of the pack in developing algorithms to query and rank results from Twitter. Google’s battle with Facebook on the Real-Time search will also pick up steam as the race begins to dominate this new and fast growing set of data. We may not see the full effect in 2010, but we’ll definitely start to see an impact from real-time search in day to day management of our sites. Sentiment, brand management, and shifting rankings will impact all who manage business web sites.
  2. Reverse Image Search applications go mainstream
    TinEye, PicScout Image IRC and Google Goggles will increasingly become part of daily search for many people. The main drivers to this development will hit opposite ends of the use spectrum. Mobile phone applications will free up tired thumbs that need a break from tiny keyboard typing. Larger companies will more widely adopt reverse image search applications to manage their intellectual property in an increasingly chaotic environment online.
  3. Engagement & Sentiment analytics will become the latest obsession
    Standard web metrics will look like child’s play compared to emerging engagement & sentiment analytics. With ever growing demand from larger corporations a software development race will heat up to provide meaningful analytics to tackle Return on Investment (ROI) & Return on Engagement (ROE) questions. Engagement analytics will fill a growing vacuum to measure & manage community development, brand management and personnel management
  4. Facebook’s 2009 identity crisis will last through 2010
    Circa 1990’s Microsoft fashion Facebook will continue to steal feature ideas from innovators to secure and expand its foothold in the Social Media space… all while developing very little innovation of its own. Continue to see Facebook change course in 2010 and beyond, as it attempts to morph into the latest buzz.
  5. iPhone apps will lose momentum
    iPhone applications have reached a saturation point and as a result developer interest will continue a sharper fade in 2010. The one exception will be the maturation of augmented reality applications and demand for games. Lack of a larger interest by developers will impact demand downstream with app users. In addition the lack of market expansion resulting from diminishing developer support will drive consolidation of game development to companies who have profited most from iPhone app development. The gold rush for individual developers is coming to an end.
  6. The U.S. government will officially turn to Social Media to fight terrorism & address national emergencies
    The growing threat of non-traditional communication channel use by enemies abroad & at home and the success of the DARPA Balloon Hunt has put Social Media squarely in the sights of government security and emergency relief agencies. Larger safety concerns, terrorism and natural disaster, will spur programs to use Social Media communication in polar opposite fashions: monitor & hinder information seen as a threat vs. leverage & spread information to avert threats. And you thought you had a love hate relationship with Social Media!
  7. Facebook will yet again fail to learn from past mistakes regarding Privacy
    With an eye toward company goals (IPO,  expanding ad revenue, etc.) Facebook will turn a blind eye to privacy concerns incorrectly thinking members will endure most anything rather than re-establish network relationships through another service.
  8. Flickr will undergo a long over due redesign
    My Hail Mary prediction of the year is that Yahoo it will undergo a layout redesign. Personally I think this is a long shot, but I’m hopeful that Flickr will surprise me. Improvements will include an update to the image detail page layout to more clearly highlight use rights, tags, image sets and embed social media hooks to improve the sharing capability of their service. Higher level changes to display Explored images will take effect to broaden community interaction.
  9. Data Portability will make little head way
    Full Data Portability will live on as an idealistic dream. Implementation of a widely adopted independent & open format for single sign-on will remain rough and barely hold on as Facebook makes a full frontal assault to dominate this space as Facebook Connect and Google Friend Connect taints the larger community effort . With few incentives for private companies to adopt true data portability it is likely to languish until the next PR nightmare to haunt Facebook, Google or Twitter.
  10. Google Wave will start to live up to the hype in late 2010
    GoogleWave beta has had a tough time living up to the hype it has received.  It’s biggest strength and biggest weakness is its dependence on developers to create reliable functionality that can be appended to its use. Incredibly strong for communicating collaboratively it has a while to go before hitting a tipping point with a larger audience. GoogleWave strikes me as having its strongest use by large enterprises, but less the proper developer support will find itself stuck in niche uses. As more reliable and functional add-ons are created for GoogleWave, use will increase and a larger tipping point among individual users is likely to happen in late 2010.

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Blog Project: Your Best Photos From 2009

As has become a yearly tradition on the JMG-Galleries blog I’m kicking off the 3rd annual blog project for you to share your best photos of the past year. Last year we had nearly 100 people take part (Best Photos of 2008 by JMG-Galleries Blog Reader’s) tripling the results from 2007 (Best Photos From 2007 by JMG-Galleries Blog Reader’s). This has proven to be increasingly popular and a great way to introduce JMG-Galleries readers to each other.

How to Participate (Read Carefully):

  1. Review & select your top photos from 2009.
  2. Create a blog post on your web site or a Flickr set containing your top photos from 2009.
  3. Access my Contact page filling out all required fields.
  4. In the subject line type “Your Best Photos From 2009″
  5. Include in your message:
    • Your web site name (if applicable)
    • Your web site address
    • The URL to “Your Best Photo From 2009? blog/Flickr set entry

Note: Due to the increased volume of entries submissions lacking this information may not be listed.

The only rules for this project is that you share photos taken within the calendar year of 2009. As with all my photography blog projects participation is more important than anything else. I look forward to seeing your photos!

Deadline to Take Part
The deadline to take part will be Saturday JANUARY 9th at 11:59PM PST.
The following Tuesday I’ll post a link to all submitted sites and photos.

Spread the Word!
Feel free to spread the word of this project on Twitter, Facebook, photo forums you frequent and/or your blogs. All who are interested in taking part are invited.

Join the JMG-Galleries Flickr Group
New to this years blog project I’ve created the JMG-Galleries Flickr group to make it easier for JMG-Galleries blog readers to view and comment on each others photography. Join the group, read the rules and post your best photos year round.

Racetrack Textures

When traveling to remote locations I strive to:
1. Make use of every moment of light possible.
2. Look for opportunities to capture a new take on a “common” subject.

This photo was taken during a transition of dusk and optimal morning light at the Racetrack. Not wanting to sit idle during this time I began experimenting with a variety of in camera effects to see if I could create something interesting and perhaps surreal. Personally I’m fond of the extension of the texture of the playa to the top of the mountains. I thought about converting this to B&W, but I ended up applying a mild split-tone to highlight the cool blue tones of the ambient light and warm yellow brown of the lake bed.

Racetrack Textures

Racetrack Textures

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Merry Christmas… from Death Valley!?

I’m going to be taking a few day break from the blog, but before I do I wanted to wish all of my blog readers a Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays. While most photographers in a post like this might settle for a photo like I shared in my previous entry Christmas Wonderland, Yosemite National Park I decided to opt for something a little different.

Badwater Salt Snowmen - Death Valley National Park, California

Badwater Salt Snowmen - Death Valley National Park, California

Back in September while visiting Badwater in Death Valley National Park I had a surreal moment. The temperature was 114 at 4pm and not being too smart I hiked out on to the salt flats. About a 1/4 of a mile out I noticed 3 small snowmen built from salt. Each snowman was about 4 inches tall and I couldn’t resist photographing them. I set my camera down on the ground, put my lens close to them and snapped away. This photo proved to be the highlight of my 1/3 mile hike. The hexagonal salt formations I had hiked to see/photograph were not in good shape and I was overheating. By the time I made it back to my car I was feeling a bit woozy and had a growing headache. Only after I guzzled a bottle of gatorade and took the time to cool off did I feel back to normal. The moral of the story….

Never hike in 114 degree heat and always photograph snowmen in the desert.

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!

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Primitive Coastline III

The rugged coastline of Big Sur is an inspiring location. Some of the greatest icons of nature and landscape photography have photographed this area… a few greats have even called this area home. The chaotic nature of the waves, variability of the light and infinite rock formations along the coast provide numerous photographic opportunities. When I visit Big Sur and the Carmel area I can’t help but stand in awe of both the scenery and the larger than life footsteps before me.

Primitive Coastline III

Primitive Coastline III

A funny side story to this photograph…
I was very happy to see the light and large surf come together before me as I’d hoped when I set up for this shot. I was taking exposures on the order of 45 seconds to a minute. With each trigger of the shutter I’d have a moment to take in the view from the very steep cliff I was standing on. I was convinced that I was getting the shot of the night when I took this. Low and behold as I’m looking out 90 degrees to my right the brightest meteor I’ve ever seen shoots across the sky down to the setting sun that is barely visible on the horizon. Mid-exposure I couldn’t move my camera and I wouldn’t have been able to react fast enough anyhow. After this exposure was completed all that was left was a zig-zag cloud marking the trajectory of the meteor. While I’m still really happy with how this came out I can’t help but wonder what could have been if my camera were pointed 90 degrees to the right.  California Fireball Reported – SF Gate

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Kelp and Rocks – Point Lobos State Reserve, California

I can’t help but think nature is an exhibitionist and as a photographer that makes me a voyeur. This is particularly true when I think of the raw beauty of Point Lobos. The landscape, the trees, the rocks and the coastline beam, impossible to take your eyes off. Truly an inspirational location where you’ll find beauty right underfoot, if you can divert your attention from the larger magnificent scenery.

Kelp and Rocks - Point Lobos State Reserve, California

Kelp and Rocks - Point Lobos State Reserve, California

Canon 1Ds Mark III, f/14, 1/200 sec, Canon 16-35mm Mark II

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Social Media Photography Survey Results 2009

Earlier in the year I wrote a series of blog articles on Social Media including Why Social Media Matters to Photographers. Shortly after the publication of these articles I began to receive questions from  photographers concerned about the time commitment and return on investment (ROI) in relation to Social Media activity. After numerous e-mail correspondences & phone conversations explaining the non-traditional value of social media participation, I decided to run a survey on the subject as I was preparing to present on a Twitter Revolution panel at Photo Plus Expo.  The (2) two goals of this survey was to:

  1. Answer many of the basic questions I was receiving not just with my professional opinion, but the cold hard reality of what other photographers were reporting in relation to their marketing & business efforts.
  2. Capture a historical snapshot of early business adoption of social media in the photography industry.

In less than a month I was blown away to have nearly 550 photographers take part in the survey. With the skillful help of friend, photographer and business designer Taylor Davidson the survey data was combed through to provide meaningful patterns and trends. After several weeks of review the results are summarized in the slide deck below along with some high level analysis to provide greater clarity on the subject. I hope this proves to be of great value to you and I invite you to share these survey results with your peers, trade organizations and others who have questions about Social Media.

You’ve found my blog, but you’re only seeing the tip of the iceberg… Sign up to get email updates & news on future web marketing / business development programs.  Follow me on TwitterFacebook and FriendFeed. I also invite you to listen and subscribe to my podcast “EXIF and Beyond”.

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